Thursday, November 19, 2020

Will Havoc Rule In the 2020s?

The Atlantic has been the gold standard of liberal thought in America for at least sixty years.  At its best it breaks ground by studying new approaches and methodologies of importance.  In the current issue of December 2020, it analyzes the use of mathematics to find patterns of history, a technique repudiated for generations by most historians.  A unique and key leader in the field of mathematical history is Peter Turchin from the University of Connecticut, Storrs.  For The Atlantic, Graeme Wood writes this about him:

“In 2010, he predicted that the unrest would get serious around 2020, and that it wouldn’t let up until those social and political trends reversed. Havoc at the level of the late 1960s and early ’70s is the best-case scenario; all-out civil war is the worst. 

The fundamental problems, he says, are a dark triad of social maladies: a bloated elite class, with too few elite jobs to go around; declining living standards among the general population; and a government that can’t cover its financial positions.

The full article is available at:  https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2020/12/can-history-predict-future/616993/?utm_source=ONTRAPORT-email-broadcast&utm_medium=ONTRAPORT-email-broadcast&utm_term=RI+Free&utm_content=RI+Weekly%3A+The+Ecology+of+Doom&utm_campaign=20201119

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