Taliban Enters Kabul

The long-running eternal failure of “nation building”?

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/aug/14/afghanistan-taliban-us-troops

= = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

The Fall of Kabul, August 15, 2021

Kabul, the capital city of Afghanistan, fell to Taliban forces on 15 August 2021 in the culmination of a military offensive that began in May 2021 against the Afghan government.  The capture took place hours after President Ashraf Ghani fled the country. Most of the provincial capitals of Afghanistan had fallen one after the other in the midst of a U.S. troop withdrawal that was to be completed by the end of August.

Tense negotiations are ongoing between a Taliban delegation and Afghan officials, although it appears unlikely that they will end in anything less than an unconditional surrender by the government.  A peaceful transfer of power has been requested by the Taliban, and the government has declared its willingness to abide.  However, the government has requested that power be transferred to a transitional government, while the Taliban desires a complete transfer of power.  NATO forces still maintained a presence in Kabul as well.

Background

The Taliban and allied militant groups began a widespread offensive on 1 May 2021, simultaneous with the withdrawal of most U.S. troops from Afghanistan. Following its rapid defeat across the country, the Afghan National Army was left in chaos, and only two units remained operational by mid-August: The 201st Corps and 111th Division, both based in Kabul. The capital city itself was left encircled after Taliban forces had captured Mihtarlam, Sharana, Gardez, Asadabad, and other cities as well as districts in the east.  In the days preceding the fall, the projection for the situation of Kabul rapidly worsened. U.S. officials brought a forecast in early August that Kabul could hold out for several months, but the week of the fall brought more grim forecasting; five days before the Taliban reached Kabul, expectations degraded and analysis suggested the capital would last "30 to 90 days", and within two days, officials were suggesting the city would fall within the week.

Evacuations, Fighting, and Negotiations

After the fall of Herat on 12 August, the U.S. and U.K. governments announced the deployment of 3,000 and 600 of their troops respectively to Kabul Airport, in order to secure the airlifting of their nationals, embassy staff and the Afghan civilians who worked with the coalition forces out of the country. Officials said that the first deployment would transpire in the next 24 to 48 hours and that it would be completed by the end of the month.

On 15 August, the Taliban command officially instructed its forces to halt their advance at the gates of Kabul, declaring that they would not seize the city by force, though the rebels entered its outskirts.  Locals reported that Taliban fighters were advancing into the urban areas regardless of their leaders' official declarations.  After some clashes, the insurgents reportedly captured the Pul-e-Charkhi prison, and released all inmates, including captured Daesh and Al-Qaeda militants.  Taliban fighters raised their flag in several areas of the city, and pressured some police to hand over all their weaponry.  Bagram Airfield and the Parwan Detention Facility, which held 5000 prisoners, also fell to the Taliban.

Amid the Taliban assault on the capital, U.S. military Boeing CH-47 Chinook and Sikorsky UH-60 Black Hawk and State Department Boeing Vertol CH-46 Sea Knight helicopters were sighted landing at the American embassy in Kabul to carry out evacuations as diplomats were reported to be rapidly shredding classified documents.  Panic spread among the civilian population of the city, and many rushed to their homes or to the airport which remained government-held.  The German government announced that it was sending Airbus A400M Atlas aircraft with a contingent of paratroopers for evacuations. The German government further stated that it would seek the required parliamentary approval once the mission was complete, due to the urgency of the situation.  Albanian Prime Minister Edi Rama announced that his government had accepted an American request to serve as a transit hub for evacuees.  The Italian government was reported to have transferred its embassy staff as well as the families of 30 Afghan employees to Kabul airport under Carabinieri guard to prepare for evacuation.  The government of India was reported to have Boeing C-17 Globemaster III aircraft prepared to evacuate Indian diplomatic staff, but had anticipated that it would take longer for the Taliban to capture Kabul.

The Afghan interior ministry in a statement said that President Ashraf Ghani had decided to relinquish power and an interim government led by Taliban will be formed.  Afterward, fighting died down, although many civilians remained fearful and holed up in their homes.  By 11:17 CET, Taliban negotiators were reported to have arrived at the presidential palace to begin a transfer of power.  Although negotiations were tense, the government declared its willingness to peacefully surrender Kabul to the rebels, and urged civilians to remain calm.

Later the same day, Afghan and Indian news reports claimed that Ashraf Ghani had left Afghanistan alongside Vice President Amrullah Saleh; both reportedly flew to Tajikistan.  Kabul's presidential palace, the Arg, was evacuated by helicopters. Meanwhile, Taliban co-founder Abdul Ghani Baradar arrived at Kabul Airport to prepare the takeover of the government.  At approximately 8:30 PM local time, reports emerged that the US embassy was taking fire. The embassy issued a declaration instructing US citizens in the area to shelter in place.  Secretary of State Antony Blinken announced that the embassy would be relocated to Kabul Airport.  Various other nations announced plans to evacuate their embassies, including Spain, Germany, the United Kingdom, and the Netherlands.

At 8:55 PM local time, the Taliban claimed that they had taken over the Arg, which had been vacated by President Ghani earlier that day. Allegedly, all other palace employees were ordered to leave after Ghani left.  At approximately 9:12 PM local time, it was reported that the Taliban would soon declare the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan from the presidential palace, returning to the official symbolism of the Taliban government of 1996 to 2001.

At around 23:00 local time, Ghani posted on Facebook that he had fled in an attempt to avoid a bloody battle and that "the Taliban have won with the judgement of their swords and guns".

Impact on Civilians

Some locals, especially women, were fearful for the restoration of Taliban rule and some reported feeling betrayed.  It was reported that the streets of Kabul were gridlocked with residents rushing toward the airport, with some abandoning their cars to make their way on foot through the traffic.  Long queues were reported outside of the airport and foreign embassies, with residents waiting in the heat in the hopes of being able to secure visas or flights out of the country.  A minority of residents celebrated the Taliban advance.  The day before the fall, Afghanistan Policy Lab director Timor Sharan told Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty that "shopping in the city today, I felt people were gripped by a sense of being stuck; stuck in an uncertain future and never able to dream, aspire, think, and believe anymore."

It was reported that sales of burqas (known as chadaree in Afghanistan) jumped in the days leading to the Taliban's arrival, with the price of one increasing from ؋200 to as much as ؋3,000 (approximately US$2.5 to US$37.25), in fear that the Taliban would re-impose it as mandatory on women and would target women who refused.  One Kabul woman told The Guardian that female students had been evacuated from their university dormitories before the Taliban could reach them and that university-educated women across the city were hiding their diplomas.  Shops in the city were noted to have begun painting over and removing advertisements featuring women.

Residents reported a large increase in food prices.  It was reported that a significant number of vendors in Kabul were attempting to liquidate their stocks in hopes of raising enough money to escape the country.  Concerns have also been raised about the thousands of refugees who had fled Taliban advances elsewhere in the country and now found themselves stuck in Kabul.

                          https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fall_of_Kabul_(2021)