Friday, February 26, 2021

Winter Storm Uri of 2021

The February 13–17, 2021 North American winter storm, unofficially referred to as Winter Storm Uri, was a major winter and ice storm that had widespread impacts across the United States, Northern Mexico, and parts of Canada from February 13 to 17. The storm started out in the Pacific Northwest and quickly moved into the Southern United States, before moving on to the Midwestern and Northeastern United States a couple of days later.

The storm resulted in over 170 million Americans being placed under various winter weather alerts being issued by the National Weather Service in the United States across the country and caused blackouts for over 9.9 million people in the U.S. and Mexico, most notably the 2021 Texas power crisis.  The blackouts were the largest in the U.S. since the Northeast blackout of 2003.  The storm also brought severe destructive weather to Southeastern United States, including several tornadoes. On February 16, there were at least 20 direct fatalities and 13 indirect fatalities attributed to the storm; by February 19, the death toll had risen to at least 70, including 58 people in the United States and 12 people in Mexico.  The damages from the blackouts are expected to reach $19 billion (2021 USD).

Meteorological History

On February 13, a frontal storm developed off the coast of the Pacific Northwest and moved ashore, before moving southeastward, with the storm becoming disorganized in the process.  During this time, the storm reached a minimum pressure of 992 millibars (29.3 inHg) over the Rocky Mountains.  On the same day, The Weather Channel gave the storm the unofficial name Winter Storm Uri, due to the expected impacts from the storm; the Federal Communications Commission later adopted the name in their reports after February 17.  Over the next couple of days the storm began to develop as it entered the Southern United States and moved into Texas.  On February 15, the system developed a new surface low off the coast of the Florida Panhandle, as the storm turned northeastward and expanded in size.

On February 16, the storm developed another low-pressure center to the north as the system grew more organized, while moving towards the northeast.  Later that day, the storm broke in half, with the newer storm moving northward into Quebec, while the original system moved off the East Coast of the U.S.  By the time the winter storm exited the U.S. late on February 16, the combined snowfall from the multiple winter storms within the past month had left nearly 75% of the contiguous United States covered by snow.  On February 17, the storm's secondary low dissipated as the system approached landfall on Newfoundland, intensifying in the process.  At 12:00 UTC that day, the storm's central pressure reached 985 millibars (29.1 inHg), as the center of the storm moved over Newfoundland.  On the same day, the storm was given the name Belrem by the Free University of Berlin.  The storm continued to strengthen as it moved across the North Atlantic, with the storm's central pressure dropping to 960 millibars (28 inHg) by February 19.  On February 20, the storm developed a second-low pressure area and gradually began to weaken, as it moved northwestward towards Iceland.  Afterward, the storm turned westward and moved across southern Greenland on February 22, weakening even further as it did so.  The storm then stalled south of Greenland, while continuing to weaken, before dispersing on February 24.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/February_13%E2%80%9317,_2021_North_American_winter_storm

 

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2021 Texas Power Crisis

The 2021 Texas power crisis is an ongoing crisis in the state of Texas in the United  States involving mass utilities failure, such as power outages, water and food shortages, and dangerous weather conditions.  The crisis was the result of two severe winter storms sweeping across the United States on February 10–11 and 13–17.  More than 4.5 million homes and businesses in Texas were left without power, some for several days. The cause of the power outages was initially blamed on frozen wind turbines by some Republican government officials, including Texas governor Greg Abbott, but frozen natural gas lines and instruments were found to be the main cause.  The crisis caused many experts to call into question the state's preparedness for such a storm, especially in light of its deregulated energy market.  The damages from the blackouts are expected to reach $19 billion (2021 USD.

Background of the Storm

In mid-February 2021, a series of severe winter storms swept across the United States. This outbreak was due to the jet stream dipping particularly far south into the U.S., stretching from Washington to Texas, and running back north along the East Coast, allowing a polar vortex to bring very cold air across the country and spawning multiple storms along the jet stream track as a result.  This weather phenomenon resulted in record low temperatures throughout Texas, with temperatures in Dallas, Austin and San Antonio falling below temperatures in Anchorage, Alaska.

On February 10, a winter storm formed north of the Gulf coast, dropping significant amounts of sleet and ice on many states in the Deep South and the Ohio Valley, including Texas, Georgia, Louisiana, Arkansas, Tennessee, and states on the East Coast.  A second storm developed off the Pacific Northwest on February 13 and began to gradually develop into an organized storm as it tracked southward Texas. It grew even more organized as it turned toward the northeast US before splitting in half—one half continued into Quebec and the other moving out over the Atlantic Ocean.  This storm, along with various other storms from the previous two weeks, resulted in over 75% of the contiguous U.S. being covered in snow.  This storm was directly responsible for nearly 10 million people losing power, with 5.2 million in the US and 4.7 million in Mexico.  At least 58 people lost their lives, and a tornado outbreak from the storm spanned Florida, Georgia, and North Carolina.

The winter storm caused a record low temperature at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport of −2 °F (−19 °C) on February 16, the coldest in North Texas in 72 years.  Power equipment in Texas was not winterized, leaving it vulnerable to extended periods of cold weather.  Texas Governor Greg Abbott and some other politicians initially blamed renewable energy sources for the power outages, citing frozen wind turbines as an example of their unreliability.  However, renewable energy accounts for only 23% of Texas power output; moreover, equipment for other energy sources such as natural gas power generating facilities either freezing up or having mechanical failures were more responsible.  Viral images of a helicopter de-icing a Texas wind turbine were actually an image from Sweden taken in 2015.  Governor Abbott later acknowledged that every source of power, not just renewable ones, had failed.  Five times more natural gas than wind power had been lost.  When power was cut, it disabled some compressors that push gas through pipelines, knocking out further gas plants due to lack of supply.

During the 2011 Groundhog Day blizzard, Texas had faced similar power outages due to frozen power equipment, after which the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission reported that more winterizing of power infrastructure was necessary.  ERCOT said that some generators since then implemented new winter "best practices," but these were on a voluntary basis and mandatory regulation had not been established.

Gov. Abbott's appointees to the Public Utility Commission of Texas ended a contract with the Texas Reliability Entity in November 2020, reducing oversight of the grid.  In July, Abbott's comissioners disbanded its Oversight and Enforcement Division, dropping pending cases that ensure reliability.  While not a direct cause, the Commission's minimal oversight of utility companies, limited budget, and voluntary standards restricted its ability to secure consistent performance.

Power Outages

In addition to equipment problems, demand for electricity in Texas hit a record 69,150 megawatts (MW) on February 14—3,200 MW higher than the previous record set in January 2018.  The Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) initiated rotating outages at 1:25am on February 15.  The rotating outages prevented electricity demand from overwhelming the grid, a scenario which could have caused equipment to catch fire and power lines to go down, potentially resulting in a much more severe blackout.

At the peak, over 5 million people in Texas were without power, some for more than 3 days.  These outages have been felt disproportionately in lower-income and minority ethnic ZIP codes.

During the period of outages, wholesale electric prices went to as high as $9,000/megawatt-hour which was limited as a "system cap", compared to a more typical $50/MWh. Customers with pricing plans based on wholesale prices who had power faced large bills.  Some Griddy customers signed up for wholesale variable rates plans allowed by the Texas deregulated electricity market, found themselves facing over $5,000 bills for five days of service during the storm.  Wholesale prices stayed at $9,000 for about four days, which is a cap set by the Electric Reliability Council of Texas.

2021 Texas power crisis - Wikipedia

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