By Dora Mekouar, Voice of America
February 08, 2019 -- Up to 85 percent
of the jobs that today's college students will have in 11 years haven't been
invented yet.
That's according to a panel of experts
assembled by the Institute for the Future, although an exact percentage is
impossible to predict.
The IFTF, a nonprofit that seeks to
identify emerging trends and their impacts on global society, forecasts that
many of the tasks and duties of the jobs that today's young people will hold in
2030 don't exist right now.
“Those who plan to work for the next 50
years, they have to have a mindset of like, ‘I’m going to be working and
learning and working and learning, and working and learning,' in order to make
a career,” says Rachel Maguire, a research director with IFTF.
By 2030, we'll likely be living in a
world where artificial assistants help us with almost every task, not unlike
the way email tries to finish spelling a word for users today.
Maguire says it will be like having an
assistant working alongside you, taking on tasks at which the human brain does
not excel.
“For the human, for the people who are
digitally literate who are able to take advantage, they’ll be well-positioned
to elevate their position, elevate the kind of work they can do, because
they’ve got essentially an orchestra of digital technologies that they’re
conducting," she says. "They’re just playing the role of a conductor,
but the work’s being done, at least in partnership, with these machines.”
New technology in the next decade is
expected to lNew technology in the next decade is expected to lead to new
human-machine partnerships that will make the most of each partner's respective
strengths.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics says
today’s students will have eight to 10 jobs by the time they are 38.
And they won't necessarily have to take
time away from any one of those jobs for workforce training or to gain
additional certifications related to their fields. Instead, they'll partner
with machines for on-the-job learning, wearing an augmented reality headset
that will give them the information they need in real-time to get the work
done.
“It eliminates the need for people to
step away from income generating opportunities to recertify in order to learn a
new skill so they can level up and earn more money," Maguire says.
"It gives the opportunity for people to be able to learn those kinds of
new skills and demonstrate proficiency in-the-moment at the job.”
Students use virtual reality for an
immersive educStudents use virtual reality for an immersive educational
experience. VR blocks out the physical world and transports the user to a
simulated world. (Courtesy Dell.com)
And forget about traditional human
resources departments or the daunting task of looking for a job on your own. In
the future, the job might come to you.
Potential employers will draw from
different data sources, including online business profiles and social media
streams, to get a sense of a person and their skill set.
Maquire says there's already a lot of
activity around turning employment into a matchmaking endeavor, using
artificial intelligence and deep learning to help the right person and the
right job find each other.
In theory, this kind of online job
matching could lead to less bias and discrimination in hiring practices.
However, there are potential pitfalls.
"We have to be cognizant that the
people who are building these tools aren’t informing these tools with their own
biases, whether they’re intentional or not," Maguire says. "These
systems will only be as good as the data that feeds them."
Which leads Maguire to another point.
While she doesn’t want to sound melodramatic or evangelical about emerging
technologies, she believes it is critical for the public to get engaged now,
rather than sitting back and letting technology happen to them.
"What do we want from these new
technological capabilities, and how do we make sure we put in place the social
policies and the social systems that will result in what it is we all
want?" she says. "I have a deep concern that we’re just kind of
sitting back and letting technology tell us what jobs we’ll have and what jobs
we won’t have, rather than us figuring out how to apply these technologies to
improve the human condition.”
https://www.voanews.com/usa/all-about-america/most-2030s-jobs-havent-been-invented-yet
No comments:
Post a Comment