Model uses human and algorithmic predictions and confidence scores to boost accuracy
From: University of California – Irvine
March 11, 2022 -- Creating
smarter, more accurate artificial intelligence systems requires a hybrid
human-machine approach, according to researchers. In a new study, they present
a new mathematical model that can improve performance by combining human and algorithmic
predictions and confidence scores.
From chatbots that
answer tax questions to algorithms that drive autonomous vehicles and dish out
medical diagnoses, artificial intelligence undergirds many aspects of daily
life. Creating smarter, more accurate systems requires a hybrid human-machine
approach, according to researchers at the University of California, Irvine. In
a study published this month in Proceedings of the National Academy of
Sciences, they present a new mathematical model that can improve
performance by combining human and algorithmic predictions and confidence
scores.
"Humans and
machine algorithms have complementary strengths and weaknesses. Each uses
different sources of information and strategies to make predictions and
decisions," said co-author Mark Steyvers, UCI professor of cognitive
sciences. "We show through empirical demonstrations as well as theoretical
analyses that humans can improve the predictions of AI even when human accuracy
is somewhat below [that of] the AI -- and vice versa. And this accuracy is
higher than combining predictions from two individuals or two AI
algorithms."
To test the framework,
researchers conducted an image classification experiment in which human
participants and computer algorithms worked separately to correctly identify distorted
pictures of animals and everyday items -- chairs, bottles, bicycles, trucks.
The human participants ranked their confidence in the accuracy of each image
identification as low, medium or high, while the machine classifier generated a
continuous score. The results showed large differences in confidence between
humans and AI algorithms across images.
"In some cases,
human participants were quite confident that a particular picture contained a
chair, for example, while the AI algorithm was confused about the image,"
said co-author Padhraic Smyth, UCI Chancellor's Professor of computer science.
"Similarly, for other images, the AI algorithm was able to confidently
provide a label for the object shown, while human participants were unsure if the
distorted picture contained any recognizable object."
When predictions and
confidence scores from both were combined using the researchers' new Bayesian
framework, the hybrid model led to better performance than either human or
machine predictions achieved alone.
"While past
research has demonstrated the benefits of combining machine predictions or
combining human predictions -- the so-called 'wisdom of the crowds' -- this
work forges a new direction in demonstrating the potential of combining human
and machine predictions, pointing to new and improved approaches to human-AI
collaboration," Smyth said.
This interdisciplinary
project was facilitated by the Irvine Initiative in AI, Law, and Society. The
convergence of cognitive sciences -- which are focused on understanding how
humans think and behave -- with computer science -- in which technologies are
produced -- will provide further insight into how humans and machines can
collaborate to build more accurate artificially intelligent systems, the
researchers said.
Additional co-authors
include Heliodoro Tejada, a UCI graduate student in cognitive sciences, and
Gavin Kerrigan, a UCI Ph.D. student in computer science.
Funding for this study
was provided by the National Science Foundation under award numbers 1927245 and
1900644 and the HPI Research Center in Machine Learning and Data Science at
UCI.
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2022/03/220307162049.htm
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