Saturday, March 8, 2014

The Crimea Will Revert to Russia

By the Blog Author

The largest ethnic group in the Crimea are Russians.

The second largest ethnic group in the Crimea are Crimean Tatars, who are more loyal to Russia than to Ukraine.

The third largest ethic group in the Crimea are Ukrainians.

In 1991, the last year of the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR), Nobel Peace Prize winner Mikhail Gorbachev re-instated the Crimean Soviet Socialist Republic, splitting it off from the Ukraine.

The only legitimate argument the west has for supporting a united Ukraine that includes the Crimea would be an honest election in the Crimea in which the citizens vote to remain part of the Ukraine. Such an election is coming, and a pro-Ukrainian vote isn’t going to happen. Furthermore, a rump Ukrainian state that is without Russian-sympathetic voters in Crimea is much more likely to become part of the west through membership in the European Community and (for some complex reasons) a member of NATO.

The Russians have a military base and seaport in the Crimea that they have leased through 2042 – and NATO disallows member states to have any foreign, non-NATO military bases leased to non-NATO nations.

Putin’s actions from Moscow constitute a legitimate and irreversible "win" for Russia.

The statements from the White House on this matter have been stupid, foolish, and poorly researched.
The United States (the originator and major member of NATO) is better off with a rump Ukraine that ultimately joins NATO and thus creates an unbroken line of NATO members from the Atlantic and Baltic through central Europe to the Black Sea. Thus the Ukraine can "cover" for the inevitable loss of Turkey, an increasingly radical Islamist state that never really belonged in NATO.

See also: https://news.vice.com/articles/why-putin-will-get-everything-he-wants-in-crimea

No comments:

Post a Comment